The Turn Strategy

The turn strategy is divided into two categories, 'drawing' hands and 'made' hands. When playing a hand on the turn, use the river strategy to determine how to play the hand. If you cannot play/call the hand as a 'made' hand, then determine if you should play/call the 'drawing' hand.

The difference between the flop and turn strategy is playing your drawing hands. Because there is only one card left to deal on the turn, the percentage of advantage for same drawing hand is half as much as on the flop. For example, an inside straight draw with 4 'outs' on the flop has the percentage of advantage of about +4%, which makes it a playable hand in a loose game. However, on the turn, the percentage of advantage is about +2%. Also, there are no backdoor flush or straight draws to consider on the turn. After analysis, using hand statistics and game simulation program, I came to the conclusion that a drawing hand of 8 outs or greater should be played. Some players will continue to play/call a drawing hand such as an inside straight draw with 4 outs to 'protect their pot investment'. When I ran the simulated game program with this hand, there was a constant draining of chips. Even an inside straight draw with a pair on the turn had negative results. Also note that only on the turn can two inside straight draws occur which equals 8 outs. Playing in a tight game or loose game at this point doesn't really matter with pot odds. As long as you have 8 outs on the turn, play/call your drawing hand.

Drawing Hands on the Turn

Pair = 2 outs
Inside straight draw = 4 outs
Outside straight draw = 8 outs
Flush draw = 8 outs
Flush draw one card K high = 8 outs
Flush draw with inside straight draw = 11 outs
Flush draw with outside straight draw = 15 outs

Call 8 outs and above

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07 Summary